BUT WHICH FOREIGN EMBASSY IS CONDUCTING THE RESEARCH?
With five days to go to next Sunday’s Greek General Election, more
leaked figures from a secret Athens study still show New Democracy
holding its own, but continuing growth by the minority Parties, in the
regions around the Capital. I now have copies of polling in the five
major regions of Attica (A, B and Rest of of Athens County) and the
prefecture of Piraeus (A and B of Piraeus). But I still don’t know with
any degree of certainty which foreign Embassy is conducting the study.
The heaviest betting is that it is the German Embassy, although
that probably reflects as much the unpopularity of Berlin in Greece
rather than any hard evidence. Quite a few think it may well be the
Americans, or perhaps the Russians. If you have any strong evidence on this Athenians, please contact me at jawslog@gmail.com
The main loser is clearly Evangelo Venizelos’s PASOK Party.
Although still well placed in the Establishment areas of Athens, even
there it has only 13% of the voting intentions; elsewhere the Party’s
position is under 10%. In Athens County, for example, PASOK garnered a
risible 5.7% share. Although New Democracy will probably be the biggest
Party in the next Greek Parliament, in Piraeus B it has only 8.1%: and
minority Parties are catching it up.
The most spectacular gains have been made by the hard-Left Party
SYRIZA. In Athens County it has over 20% of the vote, and nowhere in
these polls is it lower than 2nd in the rankings. But the far-Right
Party Independent Greeks has made great strides in the Piraeus region,
where it has over 13% of the vote.
This is going to start alarm bells ringing in Brussels, Berlin and
Washington. If these polls stay firm on election day, then the largest
Party in Greece will probably have no more than 15% of the vote, and the
extreme anti-Troika Parties will have a bloc occupying a third of the
Parliament. Were they able to muster a united front against more
austerity, the so-called minority groupings could now do so without the
involvement of either Establishment Party. This is what they call in
Brussels a mistake.
The neo-Nazi Golden Dawn has been considerably less successful: while
younger Greek voters are deserting the Establishment in droves, they
clearly have no desire to join the SS: in most areas it is at the lower
end of the rankings. However, with only five days left, roughly 16% of
voters remain undecided.Tabulations below:
Α’ Athens | Rank | Β’ Athens | Rank | Rest Athens | Rank | Α’ Piraeus | Rank | Β’ Piraeus | Rank | |
ND | 13,0 | 1 | 14,0 | 1 | 12,3 | 3 | 12,0 | 3 | 8,1 | 4 |
PASOK | 13,0 | 1 | 9,5 | 4 | 5,7 | 5 | 8,5 | 5 | 7,6 | 5 |
ΚΚΕ | 7,6 | 5 | 8,3 | 5 | 4,8 | 6 | 10,7 | 4 | 12,0 | 3 |
SYRIZA | 12,3 | 2 | 13,7 | 2 | 21,1 | 1 | 13,4 | 2 | 15,4 | 1 |
Democratic Left | 7,0 | 6 | 5,0 | 7 | 3,6 | 7 | 6,1 | 6 | 6,4 | 7 |
INDEPENDENT GREEKS | 11,3 | 3 | 11,3 | 3 | 12,7 | 2 | 13,8 | 1 | 13,7 | 2 |
LAOS | 1,8 | 9 | 1,8 | 9 | 2,0 | 8 | 1,0 | 10 | 1,8 | 9 |
Democratic Alliance | 2,2 | 7 | 1,4 | 10 | 0,9 | 9 | 1,4 | 9 | 1,1 | 10 |
Green | 2,0 | 8 | 3,7 | 8 | 4,8 | 6 | 5,2 | 7 | 3,3 | 8 |
GOLDEN DAWN | 9,5 | 4 | 6,6 | 6 | 9,6 | 4 | 4,5 | 8 | 6,7 | 6 |
Undecided | 14,0 | 18,0 | 14,0 | 15,0 | 14,0 |
Coming soon to a polling booth near you:
MY BIG FAT GREEK WIPE-OUT
Starring Envangelo Venizelos
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