(CNN)
-- As Italy and other countries stare into the financial abyss,
questions are being raised about whether the European Central Bank
should be bailing out failing economies as the only institution with
sufficient funds available to act on several fronts at once.
But although the ECB may have
the resources to help pull Italy and other cash-strapped eurozone
nations back from the brink, bank president Mario Draghi says ECB
intervention...
cannot be the answer.
cannot be the answer.
"What makes you think becoming
the lender of last resort for governments is actually the thing you need
to keep the eurozone together?" Draghi said at a press conference last
week.
What is the ECB's traditional role?
The European Central Bank was
established in 1998 after the Treaty of the European Union -- known as
the Treaty of Maastricht -- created the structure for what would become
the euro currency.
The ECB's mandates are to
control inflation and ensure some level of stability for the 17
countries that use the euro currency. Like other central banks, the
ECB's main tool for attaining these goals is by raising or lowering
interest rates -- a key tool for influencing financial markets.
The ECB's primary remit is to
control inflation around 2% or below. It also keeps money flowing
through the eurozone's economy by lending cash (known as providing
liquidity) to the sovereigns in return for holding collateral, or bonds,
of those states.
The bloc's financial structure
allowed, however, each eurozone country to retain their own tax
policies, budgets and banks and issue their own bonds. It is this lack
of integration which is often pointed to as being a key contributing
factor in the eurozone crisis -- not to mention a lack of fiscal
responsibility by member countries, according to Howard Wheeldon, senior
strategist at BGC Partners.
"The ECB could've been shouting
across the rooftops that too many euro members were not obeying the
rules that were set in stone before the eurozone came into being in
terms of deficit and debt," he said.
How has that role changed during the crisis?
While the ECB's power was
initially limited to controlling interest rates, as the global financial
crisis deepened European leaders authorized the bank to begin buying
government debt in order to stabilize countries' bond yields -- the rate
a country must pay to borrow money to pay its bills.
If investors lose confidence
that a country will pay back its debts, fewer investors will by the
country's bonds, which in turn will drive the rate up.
Greece, Ireland and Portugal
were all forced to seek bailouts once their 10-year bond yield, or rate,
surpassed and remained above the 7% mark for an extended period of
time.
Since August the ECB has bought
billions of euros worth of Italian bonds in attempt to keep Italy well
below this "point of no return" -- but on November 9 Italy's bond yield
surged to a euro-era high of 7.3% amid fears that the eurozone's third
largest economy could collapse.
Some investors and economists
see the ECB as the only European institution with the capacity to
respond quickly to the crisis in Italy.
Why doesn't the ECB want to continue buying Italian bonds?
As international lenders desert
Italy, the ECB is now in the uncomfortable position of being seen as a
potential lender of last resort for nations that can no longer borrow
from the private sector.
The ECB is reluctant to do so,
however, because the bank believes the practice would merely gloss over
serious economic problems in eurozone countries and discourage them from
enacting austerity measures in order to bring their debts under
control.
"Once you've put that 'lender of
last resort' thing out there, the perception will be (that
cash-strapped countries will) be automatically bailed out," said
Wheeldon. "But financial stability can only occur if countries have
discipline."
Experts say Italy needs to enact
reforms that will boost economic growth, not just cut spending, to
stabilize its debts -- and ECB leaders remain opposed to expanding the
bank's balance sheet with risky sovereign debt.
Still, other analysts say the
ECB may quietly increase its purchases of Italian bonds if the
government demonstrates a commitment to getting its fiscal house in
order.
What else can the ECB do?
While buying bonds is currently
an integral part of the strategy to keep Italy from collapse, experts
say any successful approach must be more comprehensive if it is to work.
"Buying bonds can't be the total
modus operandi", said Wheeldon. "The ECB will have to do a combination
of things to (prevent Italian default)."
The ECB could lower interest
rates in an attempt to encourage growth in eurozone countries, although
some experts doubt a rate drop would make a much of a difference.
European leaders could also pass
legislation to allow the ECB to print billions of euros to pay off
sovereign debt, but experts say that would only devalue the euro, cause
inflation and undermine the bank's credibility.
"If that was the easy solution
it would've been done," said Wheeldon. "If the ECB printed money, the
soundness of the bank would be seriously questioned."
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